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ExxonMobil’s full-year profit dips on crude prices despite Q4 refining strength

Exxon Mobil Corp achieved fourth-quarter 2025 earnings that narrowly surpassed Wall Street expectations, largely fueled by robust results in its refining segment and all-time high output from significant growth assets.

Despite this strong quarter, the energy behemoth’s overall profit for the full year decreased compared to 2024, primarily due to the adverse effects of depressed crude oil prices and diminished margins in its chemicals business.

Q4 performance and key financials

The company surpassed expectations with earnings per share (EPS) of $1.71, exceeding the consensus estimate of $1.68. Although revenue declined from the previous year, it reached $82.31 billion, topping the forecast of $81.04 billion.

ExxonMobil’s GAAP earnings for the quarter that ended on December 31, 2025, totaled $6.5 billion, which translates to $1.53 per share.

The company’s strong operational performance allowed it to successfully manage the difficult commodity price landscape, as indicated by the results.

Darren Woods, ExxonMobil chairman and CEO, said that ExxonMobil was a fundamentally stronger company than it had been just a few years before, and that their 2025 results demonstrated that.

We’re capturing more value from every barrel and molecule we produce and building growth platforms at scale – creating a long runway of profitable growth through 2030 and beyond.

During the quarter, Exxon’s operating activities generated $12.7 billion in cash flow, which resulted in a free cash flow total of $5.6 billion.

Despite reporting better-than-expected earnings, the market’s initial reaction to ExxonMobil’s news was subdued, with the stock trading down by about 1.5% in pre-market activity following the release.

The stock has since then rebounded and was up 2%.

Operational highlights and growth drivers

Despite the company meeting or surpassing its targets, the initial market reaction suggested investors may have been expecting even stronger outcomes or were primarily focused on the decline in profitability compared to the previous year.

This is notable considering the stock’s recent momentum, having risen over 16% in the month leading up to the report.

Despite a decline in annual earnings to $28.8 billion in 2025 from $33.7 billion in the previous year, the full-year results demonstrate the company’s ability to utilize its structural advantages to counteract market challenges.

Management emphasised this by pointing to key operational successes and a commitment to financial discipline.

The company achieved its highest full-year net production in over 40 years, reaching 4.7 million oil-equivalent barrels per day.

This record output was primarily fueled by 1.6 million barrels per day from the Permian Basin and gross production exceeding 700,000 barrels per day from Guyana.

Capital allocation and forward guidance

The Energy Products segment demonstrated exceptional performance, with full-year earnings soaring to $7.4 billion, a significant increase from $4.0 billion in 2024.

This substantial growth was driven by elevated industry refining margins and unprecedented global throughput.

In 2025, ExxonMobil returned a total of $37.2 billion to shareholders, comprising $17.2 billion in dividends and $20.0 billion in share repurchases.

Notably, the company raised its quarterly dividend by 4%, extending its streak of annual dividend-per-share growth to 43 consecutive years.

ExxonMobil has set its capital expenditure guidance for 2026 at a range of $27 billion to $29 billion, which aligns with the $29.0 billion cash capex spent in 2025.

Additionally, the company confirmed its commitment to repurchasing $20 billion of its shares through 2026, contingent on maintaining reasonable market conditions.

The post ExxonMobil’s full-year profit dips on crude prices despite Q4 refining strength appeared first on Invezz

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