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Tesla tops BYD in deliveries, but BYD leads in growth: what’s next for 2025?

Tesla and BYD, two giants in the electric vehicle (EV) industry, faced contrasting fortunes in 2024.

While Tesla retained a marginal lead in global EV sales, its annual deliveries declined for the first time in years, highlighting a maturing market and fierce competition.

Meanwhile, BYD continued to expand aggressively, recording double-digit growth in EV sales and strengthening its international footprint.

Tesla falters despite growth in China

Tesla’s global deliveries fell 1.1% year-over-year to 1.79 million vehicles in 2024, missing analysts’ estimates of 1.806 million.

The decline was driven by reduced subsidies in Europe, a pivot in the US towards more affordable hybrid vehicles, and intensified competition from BYD.

While Tesla’s Chinese market bucked the trend with record sales of over 657,000 vehicles, an 8.8% increase, this was not enough to offset weaker performance elsewhere.

To counter slowing demand in China, Tesla offered significant incentives, including a 10,000 yuan discount on loans for its Model Y and extended zero-interest financing.

The company’s aging lineup, particularly the Model 3 and Model Y, struggled to attract new buyers.

The much-anticipated Cybertruck, which debuted in late 2024, has yet to make a significant market impact, with delivery figures undisclosed.

BYD wins the lead in Q4

In stark contrast, BYD delivered 1.76 million battery-electric vehicles in 2024, a 12.1% increase from the previous year.

This growth was bolstered by competitive pricing, diverse product offerings, and an intensified push into Asian and European markets.

BYD’s Q4 sales of 595,413 battery electric vehicles (BEVs) not only surpassed Tesla’s 495,570 deliveries but also marked a pivotal shift in the global EV market, highlighting BYD’s 71.9% surge in overseas sales to 417,204 units for the year.

This was the first time in 2024 that the Chinese EV giant surpassed Tesla’s quarterly numbers.

Source: Cleantechnica.com

For 2024, BYD’s 1.76 million BEVs reflect its 12.1% annual growth, driven by expanding international demand.

BYD also overshot its overall passenger vehicle sales target, with a 41% rise to over 4.25 million units.

However, the company faced setbacks in Europe, where additional tariffs dampened its export momentum, and Brazil, where labour practices at a factory construction site drew regulatory scrutiny.

Despite these challenges, BYD’s ability to outpace Tesla in key growth markets, coupled with its diversified product range that includes hybrids, highlights its increasing dominance in the EV race.

Market pressures redefine EV strategies

The global EV landscape is becoming increasingly competitive, with legacy automakers and new entrants intensifying the pressure.

In Europe, Tesla’s registrations fell by 24% in October, losing ground to Volkswagen’s Skoda Enyaq, which dethroned the Model Y as the region’s best-selling EV.

Tesla’s strategy to regain momentum includes expanding its self-driving taxi business and introducing cheaper models.

However, the timeline for fully autonomous vehicles remains uncertain, and analysts have expressed scepticism about the company’s ability to achieve its ambitious growth targets for 2025.

Meanwhile, BYD’s focus on affordability and localisation appears to resonate with price-sensitive consumers in emerging markets.

The company’s ability to undercut competitors while maintaining profitability has positioned it as a formidable challenger to Tesla’s dominance.

Tesla and BYD adapt to evolving demand

The EV industry’s rapid growth has begun to plateau, with demand slowing in mature markets like the US and Europe.

As borrowing costs remain high, both Tesla and BYD must navigate a more complex landscape.

For Tesla, innovation and regulatory support under the Trump administration may offer opportunities, but challenges persist, particularly with tax credit uncertainties and scrutiny over its autonomous driving technologies.

BYD’s strategy of leveraging its hybrid offerings and expanding in underserved markets provides a contrasting approach to growth.

However, the company must address regulatory concerns and rising tariffs to sustain its momentum.

In 2024, the battle between Tesla and BYD has highlighted the need for adaptability in a competitive and evolving market.

As both companies prepare for 2025, the focus will likely shift to innovation, cost management, and strategic global expansion to capture the next wave of EV growth.

The post Tesla tops BYD in deliveries, but BYD leads in growth: what’s next for 2025? appeared first on Invezz

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